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Homeracing

Manitoba Oaks exotics plays for Assiniboia July 26

Profile Picture: Ashley Anderson

July 26th, 2022

Seven three-year-old fillies will race one mile over the Assiniboia Downs dirt in the $50,00 Manitoba Oaks on Tuesday, July 26, at 10:35 p.m. ET.

Below we give you our full field analysis and best exotics plays for Race 5 on Assiniboia Downs' Tuesday card, including exacta, trifecta, and superfecta tickets.

#1 Savage Love (10-1): The Elton Dickey pupil came in third last out in her third straight start at Assiniboia, but the Lord Nelson daughter finished 14 lengths behind the winner, Burrow Down, who re-opposes here. The dark bay filly posted a 69 Brisnet speed figure in the 7 1/2-furlong race, which is the fourth best last-race speed rating among the field.

#2 Favorite (7-1): The bay finished fourth by 2 1/4 lengths in an allowance at today's distance last out and showed good closing speed in the effort in her lone start with trainer Rodney Cone. Two back, while under the guidance of Shelley Brown, the Candy Ride granddaughter flashed an 82 Speed figure in a six-furlong maiden special weight that she won by 5 1/2 lengths. Favorite is now back in Brown's barn and will regain rider Renaldo Cumberbatch, a 21% winner this meet who has gone 6-2-1-0 over the last 14 days when paired up with Brown.

#3 Kim’s Texas Bling (8-1): Fifth in the Jack Hardy S. to Burrow Down, Kim's Texas Bling was 17 lengths behind the winner, who also beat her two back in a six-furlong sprint at this track. Trainer Jerry Gourneau is a 12% winner with horses making their first start at a route distance.

#4 Miami Souvenirs (12-1): The chestnut has one win and a second in two starts at this track and will make a move up in class for conditioner Jennifer Jordan. Miami Souvenirs rallied to win last out, posting an 86 Late Pace rating, but her best speed rating is well below the average winning speed.

#5 Thrill of the Nite (25-1): Another runner moving up in class, Thrill of the Nite is also making her first start at a route distance after winning a 5 1/2-furlong maiden special weight and a six-furlong allowance at Assiniboia. Trainer Courtney Ross is a 26% winner in non-graded stakes and has finished in the money in 63% of her last 38 races with horses coming off a win. Neville Stephenson will retain the mount and can hit the board with this longshot.

#6 Inspiratus (6-1): Runner-up to Burrow Down in the Jeff Hardy, Inspiratus was still a good 12 lengths behind the winner. The Gourneau trainee will keep jockey Arthur Budhu, who is just 1-for-38 this meet. The Curlin granddaughter can contend for the minor awards, but a win is unlikely.

#7 Burrow Down (2-5): Last out in the Jack Hardy, the odds-on favorite posted an 87 Speed rating, by far the best dirt speed figure among the field. Burrow Down has now won two straight since joining the stable of Duncan Murray, a 29% winner in non-graded stakes and a 26% winner with horses who won their last race. Stanley Chadee Jr. will stay in the silks and is 10-3-3-1 in the last seven days. Burrow Down's sharp four-furlong workout on July 21 only adds to the appeal. This filly is in a class of her own.

Manitoba Oaks exotics wagers

$5 exacta: 7 with 2,5 ($10)

$2 trifecta: 7 with 1,2,5 with 1,2,5,6 ($9)

$1 superfecta: 7 with 1,2,5 with 1,2,5,6 with 1,2,5,6 ($18)

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