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Homeracing

Ready for a Big Saturday at Keeneland

Profile Picture: Ed DeRosa

Ed DeRosa

October 3rd, 2015

Opening day of the Breeders' Cup meeting at Keeneland on Friday, October 2, was consistent in how the track played throughout the day, but whether that will remain the case on day 2 remains to be seen considering the erratic weather Lexington has experienced this weekend.

It's a card every bit as challenging as the opening day card, which despite 40% favorites had decent payouts in multi-race wagers throughout and little in the way of chalky albeit not random verticals. The five stakes races are 5-9 on the ten-race card with a trio of Grade 1s including a pair of still-on-the-turf prep races for the World Championships in four weeks.

My most likely winners are in the first and fourth races with #6 Emmajestic the top choice in the former and #7 Sky My Sky in the latter. Sadly, there is no Pick 4 connecting them, but they'll be a big key to trying to build a bankroll for the difficult stakes sequences later.

We churned, baby, churned gambling inferno yesterday with our plan to use "A" picks in rolling Pick 3s and As and Bs in rolling doubles. That approach led to a -6% ROI, so we beat the takeout but missed a profit. More importantly, however, we were in a position for some decent scores, so we'll try that approach again using the grid below as our roadmap. Good luck!

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