Homeracing

Tip Sheet: Los Alamitos Futurity

Profile Picture: Dick Powell

December 17th, 2020

The $200,000 Los Alamitos Futurity (G2) will be run on Saturday as the 4th race at Los Alamitos. Held at 1 1/16 miles on the main track, the race for 2-year-olds is part of the 2021 Road to the Kentucky Derby series, with 10-4-2-1 points going to the top four finishers.

Top Picks for the Los Alamitos Futurity

  • #1 Red Flag
  • #4 Weston
  • #6 Spielberg

Betting the Los Alamitos Futurity

  • $30 win: 1
  • $10 exacta box: 1-4

Los Alamitos Futurity Analysis

#1 Red Flag broke his maiden in a turf sprint at Santa Anita two starts back then romped by over seven lengths in the Bob Hope (G3) last out going 7 furlongs. He was able to stalk early and take over late, and those tactics should come in handy for his two-turn debut from the rail with Victor Espinoza.

#2 Petruchio improved some when he stretched out to two turns on the turf with blinkers added then came back and broke his maiden on the lawn. Gelded son of Into Mischief goes back to the dirt for Dick Mandella, who is following the same pattern that he did for Omaha Beach.

#3 The Great One did nothing in his first two career starts before improving some going two turns on the turf at Del Mar

#3 The Great One did nothing in his first two career starts before improving some going two turns on the turf at Del Mar last out. He was beaten two lengths with blinkers added and tries tougher company as a maiden. The son of Nyquist is out of a stakes-winning dam that won numerous dirt stakes races.

#4 Weston began his career in great shape when he broke his maiden back in June going 4 1/2 furlongs at Santa Anita then came back and won the Best Pal (G2) going 6 furlongs at Del Mar. He weakened next out in the Del Mar Futurity (G1) going 7 furlongs then tired badly last out in the Bob Hope. With his form going backwards, he now stretches out to two turns. Son of new sire Hit it a Bomb, the gelding is out of a stakes-placed dam that has produced four winners from five foals to race.

#5 Positivity, a Cal-bred colt, won first time out going 4 1/2 furlongs then came back to win a restricted stakes race at Del Mar. He switched barns to Paddy Gallagher last out and just missed in a $150K stakes race going 7 furlongs. Son of Paynter is out of a dam by City Zip that should have more than enough pedigree to handle two turns.

#6 Spielberg ran second in his well-bet career debut at Del Mar going 6 furlongs, and it was good enough for trainer Bob Baffert to try him in the Del Mar Futurity (G1). He was an even second that day but still good enough for Baffert to put him in the two-turn American Pharoah (G1), where the colt wound up an even third as the 11-10 favorite. The son of Union Rags, who cost $1 million as a yearling, regrouped and broke his maiden next out, but came back and faded in the Bob Hope. Spielberg has burned a lot of money already in a short five-race career and figures to be overbet again.

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