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Premier League Gameweek 11: The best player prop bets for Salah, Aubameyang, and Dallas

Profile Picture: Josh Powell

November 4th, 2021

Not all goals are born equal. Some are incredible volleys from the edge of the area, others are brilliantly curled free kicks. Some are intricate team goals, others are moments of individual brilliance.

But when it comes to goal scorer prop bets in the Premier League, it doesn’t really matter how they go in, just as long as the ball hits the back of the net.

Arsenal vs. Watford: Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang to score a goal (-127)

Sun, November 7 2021, 2:00 PM

Arsenal

-240

Draw

+370

Watford

+700

Watford fans won’t have fond memories of Pierre-Emerick Aubameyang, who scored twice against them in both the home and away fixtures last time Watford were in the top flight. That took the Frenchman’s tally up to six goals in just five games against them, and he clearly has the Hornets’ number.

This game being held at the Emirates Stadium is a huge plus for this prop bet, as Aubameyang loves his home comforts. He has scored in each of his last four home games for Arsenal, and 12 of his last 16 goals in the Premier League have come when the Gunners have home advantage.

Only three teams have conceded more goals than Watford this season (18), and the last time they kept a Premier League clean sheet was all the way back in February 2020. That awful streak should continue this weekend, as Arsenal rank second in the league for shots per game (16.1) and Aubameyang can continue his good home form against a team he’s had great success against in the past.

Leeds United vs. Leicester City: Stuart Dallas to score a goal (+400)

Sun, November 7 2021, 2:00 PM

Leeds United

+180

Draw

+260

Leicester City

+148

Leeds United’s clash with Leicester City at Elland Road looks like it should have plenty of goals in it.

This season, both teams have scored in 70% of Leeds United’s games and 70% of Leicester’s, and while they have only played against each other three times in the last eight years, there was a total of 13 goals in those matches — an average of 4.3 per game.

The question is, who will score this time around?

There’s value in looking a little left field here, and in particular at midfielder Stuart Dallas. He hasn’t found the back of the net yet this season, but he has had 13 shots (ranking fifth in the Leeds team) and bagged eight goals in 38 games last season, so he does have an eye for goal.

Interestingly Dallas scored home and away versus Leicester last season, and I’m hoping a rematch with the Foxes will reignite his goalscoring spark.

Leicester haven’t kept a clean sheet in their away games this season and conceded 10 times in just five games. Meanwhile, Leeds rank fifth in the league for shots per game at home (15.8) and Leicester’s defense is ranked 17th for shots allowed (15.6).

Leeds will get chances, and hopefully one falls to Dallas.

West Ham vs. Liverpool: Mo Salah to score a goal (-114)

Sun, November 7 2021, 4:30 PM

West Ham

+375

Draw

+310

Liverpool

-141

This looks like the least inspiring pick you’ll read all week, but it’s hard to ignore the facts. Not only is Salah in the form of his life, and arguably the best player in the world right now, but there is no team he enjoys playing against more than West Ham.

Since joining Liverpool in 2017, Salah has played eight games against West Ham, scoring in seven of them and racking up nine goals in total. That’s an average of a goal every 79 minutes against the Hammers. He hasn’t scored more times against any other club, so West Ham keeper Lukasz Fabianski is probably having nightmares all week.

Salah has been in unstoppable form this season, scoring in eight of the 10 league games so far for the Reds. He failed to find the net against Brighton last week, which meant he failed to score in a league game for the first time since August 21.

David Moyes’ side have been in flying form this season and sit just two points behind Liverpool, but they’ve kept just three clean sheets this season.

Meanwhile, Salah is averaging 4.2 shots per game and 2.4 shots on target per game — both more than any other player in the division. He is three goals clear of the next player in the scoring charts and has a conversion rate of 24% this season.

The man is unstoppable.

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