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Premier League Gameweek 23: The best player prop bets for Bowen, Kane, and Mac Allister

Profile Picture: Josh Powell

January 21st, 2022

There are three intriguing matchups to consider this weekend in the Premier League, as West Ham travel to Manchester United, Brighton go on the road to Leicester, and Tottenham make the short trip across London to face Chelsea.

All three teams on the road are underdogs, but none of the home favorites look rock solid defensively. There’s value in goalscorers on the road this week, so here are the best player props to take note of.

Manchester United vs. West Ham: Jarrod Bowen to score a goal (+350)

Sat, January 22 2022, 3:00 PM

Manchester United

-110

Draw

+275

West Ham

+295

English midfielder Jarrod Bowen has been a key man for West Ham this season, with six goals and seven assists in the Premier League this year. It should be no surprise, given that Bowen lit up the Championship during his time with Hull City, scoring 52 times in 117 games, and he’s carried that into the top flight with West Ham, scoring eight times last season. He is closing in on beating that tally this year.

Bowen comes into this match on the road against Manchester United having scored four goals in his last three games in all competitions. In the league, specifically, he is reveling in a more attacking role for the Hammers, averaging 2.5 shots per game this season, compared to 1.4 shots per game last year.

His conversion rate on the season is 11%, but he’s found a real hot streak in the last few months, with a conversion rate of 17% since the start of December. He’s playing with plenty of confidence and has already scored against Chelsea and Tottenham this season, so he won’t fear Manchester United.

United have conceded in nine of their 10 games at home this season in the league and have conceded more times than Burnley this year. That’s a damning indictment of the problems at Old Trafford, and West Ham — who have found the net in 82% of their matches this season — will fancy their chances. Bowen is the value bet to keep that run going.

Leicester City vs. Brighton: Alexis Mac Allister to score a goal (+335)

Sun, January 23 2022, 2:00 PM

Leicester City

+160

Draw

+230

Brighton

+185

No team in the league has conceded as many shots per game at home than Leicester City (17.1 per match), so that gives us just enough confidence to side with a Brighton player here, despite the Seagulls ranking 16th in the league for goals scored.

Normally backing a goalscorer on a team that only averages 1.05 goals a game is a strict no, but Leicester are so poor defensively. The Foxes have conceded 1.85 goals a game, more than any side in the top 14, and they’ve conceded a goal in 84% of their matches this season.

Argentinian midfielder Alexis Mac Allister is no stranger to having a go at goal, having averaged a shot every 31 minutes this season. He’s got a 17% conversion rate and bagged two goals in the 3-2 win against Everton earlier this month.

Neal Maupay is the only Brighton player with more goals than Mac Allister this season, and while he was also tempting at +170, there’s real value in backing the Argentinian, who won’t be afraid to test Kasper Schmeichel.

Leicester have conceded at least two goals in six of their last eight league games, and their defensive woes, combined with Mac Allister’s fondness to shoot, makes this an intriguing value bet.

Chelsea vs. Tottenham: Harry Kane to score a goal (+215)

Sun, January 23 2022, 4:30 PM

Chelsea

-148

Draw

+310

Tottenham

+390

It’s been a tale of two seasons for Harry Kane, and everything can be traced back to the firing of coach Nuno Espirito Santo and the hiring of Antonio Conte.

Harry Kane's Improvement in Form Since Antonio Conte's Arrival

Harry Kane StatsWith SantoWith Conte
Games
9
9
Goals
1
4
Conversion Rate
5%
10%
Shots
19
41
Shots Per Game
2.1
4.6

Whether it was a clash of style or personality, Kane struggled under Santo, and his statistics prove it. In nine games, he scored just once and was averaging just 2.1 shots per game. But in the nine games since Conte has been at the helm, Kane looks back to his old self, trying his luck on average more than four times a game and upping his conversion rate to 10%.

Kane has found the net in four of Tottenham’s last five league games and is picking up the slack while Heung-Min Son remains on the shelf. With the Korean injured, there’s even more emphasis on getting Kane in positions to score, and that is a huge benefit to bettors as Tottenham travel to out-of-form Chelsea.

There’s an obvious concern that Tottenham have only won once at Stamford Bridge since 1989 and have failed to score in seven of their last nine matches against their London rivals, but that can all change this weekend.

Thomas Tuchel’s Chelsea side were praised for their incredible defensive displays last season, and they kept eight clean sheets in their first 12 league games this season (67%). But in their 11 games since, they’ve kept just one clean sheet (9%) and have looked increasingly vulnerable at the back.

Kane has six goals in 19 games against Chelsea, so he is one of the few Spurs players who knows how to find the net against them. He’s great value to strike on Sunday.

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