Homesoccer

Premier League Parlay Picks for Matchweek 27

Profile Picture: Josh Powell

March 5th, 2021

A Michail Antonio goal for West Ham was the only thing that stopped us scooping a lovely Premier League parlay last week. Manchester City had gone seven home games in a row without conceding until Antonio not only ended that streak, but broke our hearts and sent our parlay crashing out of action.

But that has not defeated us. What doesn’t kill you makes you stronger as the old saying goes, and what better way to get back on track than a parlay for this weekend’s slate of games – which includes a huge Manchester Derby.

This week’s four selections return $112.56 off a $10 bet and we start at Turf Moore.

Burnley vs. Arsenal: Under 2.5 goals (-110)

Sat, March 6 2021, 12:30 PM

Burnley

+475

Draw

+295

Arsenal

-159

Turf Moore is not the place you want to go if it is excitement you’re looking for. Season ticket holders in Burnley are probably glad they are in lockdown this year. So far this season in 14 games there have been a total of 29 goals, the lowest tally in the league and an average of just over two goals a game.

Arsenal are the visitors this weekend, and although the Gunners have been in free-scoring form putting three past Leicester and four past Leeds last month, Burnley will put a stop to that.

The Under 2.5 bet would’ve clicked in nine of The Clarets’ last 10 matches at Turf Park, and in eight of Arsenal’s last nine trip to Turf Moore – a record dating back to 1975.

Liverpool vs. Fulham: Fulham (2) on the 3W Handicap (-125)

LiverpoolDrawFulham
-260
+395
+725

What has happened to the Champions? Liverpool have now lost five of their last six league games and for the first time in their history they’ve lost five successive games at Anfield. Jurgen Klopp’s men have not tasted a victory at home since Dec. 16.

Fulham visit the Kop this weekend deep in a relegation dogfight. The Cottagers are in decent form though, and their narrow 1-0 defeat to Tottenham on Thursday ended a five-game unbeaten run.

This is exactly the kind of game Liverpool need to get back on track, but Fulham are no pushovers. Although they’ve lost 12 times this year, only eight of those defeats have been by a single goal and backing Fulham (2) on the handicap would’ve won in 15 of their last 16 league games.

This run of form since Dec. 13 has reinvigorated Scott Parker’s team, and they can keep it close away to an out-of-sorts Liverpool.

Man City vs. Man Utd: Under 3.5 goals (-220)

Man CityDrawMan Utd
-205
+340
+575

The Manchester Derby is likely to emphasize the gulf in class between these two sides yet again, as Manchester City close in on a Premier League title and put more distance between themselves and Ole Gunnar Solskjaer’s men.

But whatever the outcome of the match, backing under 3.5 goals looks like a safe bet.

Man City have been sweeping their opponents aside this year – but they haven’t been in high-scoring thrillers. Of their 14 home games in the league, 10 of them featured less than 3.5 goals.

On the other side of the city, Manchester United are on a run of three consecutive 0-0 draws in a row and this bet would’ve clicked in their last seven away games. Already this season United have drawn 0-0 with Chelsea twice, Man City, Liverpool, and Arsenal – showing how they set up against the traditional big teams.

Despite what the hype machine in the media will try to tell you, these games are rarely thrillers – six of the last seven Manchester Derbies have had under 3.5 goals and this should be another.

Tottenham vs. Crystal Palace: Tottenham win to zero (+115)

TottenhamDrawCrystal Palace
-210
+340
+600

Jose Mourinho might have just got through his rough patch at Tottenham. Individual errors had littered their performances, and a drop in confidence saw them lose five of six league games at one point between January and February.

But they’ve turned the corner. A 4-0 win in Europe against Wolfsberger last month was followed up by a 4-0 dismantling at home to Burnley, and a gritty 1-0 away win against an in-form Fulham. Mourinho has his team defending well again, and they can continue that against a Crystal Palace team on a dire run.

Roy Hodgson’s team have failed to score in five of their last seven away games in all competitions, and they have lost without scoring in 46% of their league away games this year – only relegation candidates Sheffield United have a worse record.


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