Tottenham vs. Arsenal: Premier League betting odds, preview, and pick
There are just two points separating Arsenal and Tottenham in the race for the top four, making this weekend's North London Derby particularly tasty. The Gunners currently have the advantage and can put five points between themselves and Spurs with a win on the road, but Tottenham are unbeaten in the league since Antonio Conte took over at the start of November.
Spurs have the slight edge in the odds as they attempt to pick up the biggest three points of their season.
Sun, January 16 2022, 4:30 PM
Tottenham’s home comforts
Tottenham have had some unpleasant moments at home this season – 3-0 defeats to Manchester United and Chelsea sting particularly badly for Spurs fans – but on the whole it has been a fortress for Tottenham. They’ve averaged 2.2 points per game at home, compared to 1.38 points per game on the road, and 70% of the goals they’ve scored have come at the Tottenham Stadium.
League leaders Manchester City are the only Premier League side to have more points per game on home soil this season than Tottenham, with Spurs recording a 7-2-1 record at home.
Under Antonio Conte’s leadership, Tottenham have really turned a corner in the league. They lost five of their last seven Premier League games before Conte took the reins, but the Premier League winning coach has guided them to five wins and three draws in his eight league games since.
That run of eight games includes five clean sheets and has seen Spurs score 14 goals – an average of 1.75 goals per game, up from 0.9 goals a game before Conte took over.
Tottenham’s leading scorer, Son Heung-min, will miss the game with a muscle injury which is a blow to Spurs’ attack, but Harry Kane has three goals in his last four league games and loves nothing more than facing Arsenal. In just 14 league games against the Gunners, Kane has scored 11 times and will look to give Arsenal fans more nightmares this weekend.
January blues for Arsenal
The Gunners finished off 2021 in style, winning 10 of their last 13 games in all competitions – a run that included important wins on the road to Leicester and at home to West Ham, as Arsenal moved into the top four in the Premier League.
But it is al starting to unravel for Mikel Arteta since the turn of the year. Two minutes of madness at home to Manchester City saw Gabriel get two yellow cards and Mahrez equalize for the Citizens, before Rodri bagged a last-second winner to break Arsenal hearts. A week later, the Gunners crashed out of the FA Cup in the shock of the round as Nottingham Forest beat them 1-0 and Arteta’s team failed to have a shot on target against their Championship opponents.
Unsurprisingly, the mood has flipped as Arsenal prepare for a huge week that will define their season, with their two-legged League Cup semi-final with Liverpool and a North London Derby in between. Arsenal have the advantage over Tottenham in the league currently, but defeat on Sunday would put them a point behind their rivals, having played two fewer games.
It may only be mid-January, but there is a must-win feel about the game for Arsenal. Defeat here, on the back of the City game and the Nottingham Forest shock, would send the Gunners spiraling, so they’ll need to do something that hasn’t come easy for them this season – win on the road.
Against the top 15 in the league, Arsenal’s record away from home this year is 1-5-1, and they’ve been heavily beaten 5-0 away to Man City and 4-0 away to Liverpool. The Gunners raced into a three-goal lead at home to Tottenham earlier in the season (eventually winning 3-1) but that was a Spurs side in disarray, and this will be a very different test on Sunday.
Tottenham vs. Arsenal Betting Trends
- Both teams have scored in six of the last seven games between Arsenal and Tottenham
- Tottenham have kept four clean sheets in their last six league games
- There have been Over 2.5 goals in seven of Arsenal’s last eight league games
- Tottenham are 8-1-3 in their last 12 home games against Arsenal in the league
- Arsenal have scored in their last eight league games
- 10 of Tottenham’s last 15 league games have gone Over 2.5 goals
North London belongs to Tottenham
There should be no shortage of goals in this game despite some high-profile absentees. History suggests this match can regularly throw up a goalfest, and it’s worth taking a chance on another here, with both teams finding the net regularly in recent weeks. Harry Kane’s good record in the North London Derby has every chance of continuing while it wouldn’t be a surprise to see Tottenham concede either as Arsenal look to maintain a grip on the top four. Spurs have a fantastic recent record at home against Arsenal, and the Gunners’ disastrous road trips this year are already adding up. Take Tottenham to win a barnstormer.
Score prediction: Tottenham 3-1 Arsenal (+1700)