UEFA Champions League - Round of 16 Free Picks!

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D.S. Williamson

March 5th, 2019

Get ready for four great Champions League matches this week!

On Tuesday, Dortmund battles Tottenham, and Real Madrid once again faces off against Ajax. Then, on Wednesday, FC Porto and AS Roma throw down while Manchester United works hard to make up ground on Paris St-Germain. Check out analysis and odds for Champions League Round of 16 matches!

[Tuesday, Feb. 5]

Dortmund +100 vs Tottenham Hotspur +270 (3:00pm ET)

Tottenham beat Dortmund 3-0 in the first leg of the Round of 16 aggregate. If Tottenham only loses by a goal, they’ll move on to the Champions League quarterfinals

That puts a ton of pressure on Dortmund to move forward in this match. Dortmund only has a single victory in their last 3 matches since losing to Tottenham. The Hotspur have 2 losses and a draw in their 3 matches since facing Dortmund.

However, Tottenham has an edge on Tuesday. Harry Kane, one of the top overall soccer players in the world, didn’t suit up in the first match. He will in the second. Kane only knows how to be aggressive. Besides, +270 might be a gift. Dortmund's undeniably great, especially at home, but the Hotspur at this price is too irresistible.

Champions League Free Pick: Tottenham Hotspur +270

Real Madrid -155 vs Ajax +410 (3:00pm ET)

Ajax is a major underdog to Real Madrid because Real gets Ajax on their home pitch on Tuesday. That could make the difference. It probably won’t. Although Ajax shows up as a +410 dog, they’re the team to back.

Since the loss, Ajax has been on fire, beating NAC Breda 5-0, Ado Den Hag 5-1, and Feynoord Rotterdam 3-0 while Real’s been ice cold. Real Madrid has lost 3-of-4. Granted, 2 of the losses were to La Liga top squad Barcelona, but how do we explain the loss to Girona? They also only beat Levante 2-1.

Ajax is worth a shot to pull off the massive upset. Real Madrid's name value is blowing these odds out a little too much.

Champions League Free Pick: Ajax +410

[Wednesday, Feb. 6]

FC Porto +105 vs AS Roma +265 (3:00pm ET)

FC Porto isn’t in great form, but they’re favored because AS Roma must travel to their pitch on Wednesday. Home pitch does mean something in soccer. However, AS Roma is playing much better than FC Porto.

The 0-3 loss to Lazio on March 2 won’t provide any comfort to Roma’s backers, but outside of the loss to Lazio, AS Roma has played great. They beat Frosinone and Bologna after beating FC Porto. Roma’s class, they’re in fourth place in Italian Serie A, could come to the forefront again. They’re worth backing at these awesome odds.

Champions League Free Pick: AS Roma +265

Paris St-Germain -200 vs Manchester United+520 (3:00pm ET)

We don’t often see Man U offering such high odds to beat any team, even one as talented as PSG. But, St-Germain only has a single loss in Ligue 1, France’s top soccer league.

They beat Manchester United 2-0 on United’s pitch in the first leg. That’s one of the reasons for the odds. The other is that Man U will be without two of their stars, Alex Sanchez and Paul Pogba. There will be too much pressure on Marcus Rashford and Romelu Lukaku to not only beat PSG, but to also make up the goal difference from the first leg.

Sounds crazy, but Paris St-Germain is an overlay at -200.

Champions League Free Pick: Paris St-Germain -200